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4:21 AM, Posted by WELCOME, No Comment

We inadvertently gave the financial industry trillions of dollars to support their balance sheets and markets. We did this even though the major banks and brokerage houses simply do not need or do not want this help. Everything was bad in September 2008, but we had to go and stick his nose into the world of high finance.

Now we are doing even worse, trying to tell them how much to pay people what risks they can take themselves and what business kosher. Suddenly, we felt that understands the business of banking is better than the bankers themselves. We know who they should lend. We have a firm idea of what they are doing with our money.

We regret this.

We are sorry that we want to close monitoring of our money supply. We regret that we want to have state protection for our deposits, our current accounts, mortgages and credit cards. Maybe we look like simpletons, but we feel nervous when they lose jobs and are forced to sell our homes at a discount to eat.

It's our fault.

The fact is that Wall Street masterfully handled the bills. And we must recognize that the fee for an overdraft, rising interest rates and the collapse in the mortgage market - it's our fault, not the banks.

Funny, but Blankfeyn Lloyd (Lloyd Blankfein), executive director of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. will be forced to continue to apologize for the success of his company. He said that in view of the retrospective approach, Goldman would have done much differently. Goldman took the wrong position. However, during these comments on January 14, he said of the bets placed by Goldman against toxic mortgage securities, which they sold to customers. In the end, is the work of the lord.

Lloyd Blankfein, Reuters photo

I think I speak for all when I write this: Sorry Lloyd, I do not know how we came to such confusion. I think because they pay you big money ($ 68.5 million in 2007).

But, please understand, we had the best intentions, when we interfere with our "nalogoplatelschikovskoy" help.

When your balance sheets look like, if you have problems, you had been developed and introduced Paulson's plan to $ 700 billion.

We just want to support you temporary credit facilities secured by a pledge, a program designed to give the industry $ 200 billion in loans for "top-rated" credit cards, small business, student and auto loans.

$ 30 billion of public-private investment programs were intended only to ease the burden of bad assets on your balance sheet. When this program is no longer look so promising, we just tried to let you get rid of it, changing the accounting rules, which allow you to self assess the value of the junk.

When you are not able to issue debt, we told the federal deposit insurance corporation, the organization responsible for niche stores, take in ensuring your bonds. You took this without much enthusiasm. 84 bond issue to $ 309 billion have been implemented in the program. Citigroup Inc. issued, $ 64 billion. Goldman issued a $ 21 billion. Bank of America Corp. issued $ 44 billion.

We know that you have done this only to make us feel better.

And when it does not work, we simply told the Fed to buy an unlimited number of mortgage loans and pass one of your partners, American International Group Inc. $ 182 billion as the credit line.

How such actions could be construed as support for banks, despite the fact that they continued to bet on their own money on their own trading platforms, hedge funds and private equity funds - remains a mystery.


Bonuses for the hack
In comparison with the pressure on your bonus, all the above - just child's play. In Goldman average bonus per employee is $ 460,000, only slightly more than 9 times higher than the average income in the United States. Sorry, but not everyone is able to buy Bugatti Veyron, even used, for their pennies. It's so much to promote the automobile industry.

In retrospect, all that money to save, were probably intended for the payment of bonuses on Wall Street. Without such a serious cash, your bankers, probably would prefer to switch to more lucrative jobs elsewhere, for example, in baseball big leagues, or would play the lottery. They would not be aimed at stabilizing the financial system, and subsequent problems - it's our fault for having confidence in you. I understand, we do not pay big money for inference.

No, just cut our retirement accounts «401K», our individual retirement savings and, perhaps, if lucky, our homes. We are too dense to see how the bullet and blast our financial system, and taxpayers can never repay you for what we have experienced over the past two years.

So, Wall Street, excuse us for molestation. Forgive us, and Paul Volcker, a desire to return to boring old banking system. Forgive the sarcasm. And above all, forgive us for our gullibility.

Retail sales according to the Confederation of British manufacturers fell in January predicted

4:19 AM, Posted by WELCOME, No Comment

According to the British Confederation of Industrialists (CBI), the balance of total retail sales (Retail sales volume balance) was -8% in January. Recall that in December the figure stood at 13%, and in January, is expected to fall to 11%.

Projected CBI, the situation stabilized in February, with the balance of retail sales improved to -1%. In general, it is expected that recovery will occur uncertain and weak during 2010.

Wholesale sales fell sharply in January (-38%), but is likely to increase in February (the forecast +9%).

British Industrialists Confederation represents the interests of some 240 000 organizations, which employs one third of the workforce of the private sector. The January survey was based on survey of 140 firms.

Published Standard & Poors index of house prices Case-Shiller, which includes data on the 20 largest cities in the U.S. fell in November to 0.2% compared to the previous month.

At the same time housing prices rose in November in five of the twenty cities.

In annual terms, the price index for housing fell by 5,3%. It was expected that prices will be lower by 4,9% compared with last year.

According to the index Case-Shiller, home prices in 20 major U.S. cities fell by 32.6% compared with the last peak price.

Increased in January, optimism about the current economic situation in the United States led to the growth index of consumer confidence to record levels over the past 16 months.

The index of consumer confidence rose in January to a mark of 55.9 compared with 53.6 in December. Rate was at a record high in September 2008, and its growth continues for the third consecutive month.

Nevertheless, the index of consumer confidence in the U.S. is still at a very low level, considerably below the average value of 95.0.

Support the current situation index rose in January to 25.0 compared with 20.2 the previous month. Index of consumer expectations have increased from 75,9 to 76,5.

The euro fell against the Dollar

4:19 AM, Posted by WELCOME, No Comment

Euro fell against its U.S. counterpart, the Asian session today, reaching the lowest level since June 14. Now go out data on unemployment in Germany is projected to rise.

Euro / dollar fell below the psychologically important level of 1.4000, bargaining is currently around 1.4005. The breakthrough level of 1.4000 may cause further growth of the dollar in the medium term, however, according to indicators of momentum, the pair traded in the over-sold. Pare supports at 1.3945 and resistance at 1.4225.

Pair Pound / dollar consolidated in the range 1.6250 - 1.6120, and currently is trading around 1.6180. Pare supported at 1.6150, along with the resistance 1.6265, and the four-momentum indicators show downward movement today.

The dollar rose against the Japanese yen, reaching 90.38. Today, the resistance can be found at 90,45 and 88,60 in the support. In accordance with the rates of stochastic, we expect that the couple will show further growth and breach the resistance level will result

Gann rvm v4 MT4 Indicator

4:18 AM, Posted by WELCOME, No Comment


Indicator Gann rvm paints a channel through which we can determine the trend in the market. The indicator has settings that can help you configure chuvsvvitelnost indicator.
If the price is above the channel Gunn - then rynkepreobladaet bullish trend. If the price is below the channel Gunn - then the market bearish trend. If the price is inside the channel Gunn - a market dominated by fletovoe state.


Download

Gann rvm v4.mq4

AUDJPY: Price Alert

4:17 AM, Posted by WELCOME, No Comment

What the heck, I may as well jump out on a limb and let you know what I'm seeing with the AUDJPY.

Basically, if you look at the chart, we've had a good support line since the beginning of November.

Now, if I've got the right chart uploaded, take a look below:


Personally, I'd suggest taking a long position when the price approaches the support line. You can set a nearby stop and protect yourself from much by way of downside risk.

The only issue, for me, is that Sunday trading seems a bit wild at times.

UPDATE: Well, I hope somebody played the bounce...

Since the trading robot, BREAD, was predominantly sidelined for the last couple of weeks I felt the need to do more discretionary trading.

While the capital used wasn't very large it felt great to pull in a 34% increase over the course of the week. If I could scalp like this all the time it would definitely spell the end of the day job. I have dreams of setting up a trading office with spacious rental cubes available for other traders. Rookie's trading pit.

Back to reality, BREAD on the other hand snailed along earning 2.4% and 1.7% over the last two weeks. Sometimes I think I live in Bizarro world when I have disdain for a 100% annualized rate of return...

In any case, I think the long tail of H1N1 recovery has finally come about. I should be able to concentrate both on my day job and on creating new robot strategies during evenings.

AUDJPY: Technical Analysis

4:16 AM, Posted by WELCOME, No Comment

Well, my posts are few and far between these days.

In case anyone else is still following long here is some good information on the 3hr AUDJPY.

We have a nice symmetric triangle going all the way back to November 25th.

See?


I'm expecting this to break (upward) and then run into a downward sloping resistance line on the 1d AUDJPY. However, we'll have to wait and see. I've been wrong (more than a few times) before.

UPDATE: Here we have the price dropping, on the 1hr, giving us a good entry point. We can easily set a stop loss relatively close while targeting the upper boundary for profit. However, as there was news earlier, we may find that the support line yields to changed market expectations.


UPDATE: The bar isn't closed on the 1hr but it's almost 11:00pm ET and it looks like we are breaking downward at the moment.

AUDJPY: Signs Of A Bottom?

4:15 AM, Posted by WELCOME, No Comment

First, I have to warn you, I'm eternally bullish on the AUDJPY. This means I'm wrong on my predictions a fair amount due to my long term viewpoint.

With that said, I've noticed a chart sign that implies some possible upward movement.

Take a look:


It may not be easy to see, but notice how the recent tails, at 09:00, under the last few candlesticks did not project below the closing prices during a recent, at 03:00, previous low?

Up until now, for days now, we'd see the close of each new low at the level of the tails of previous lows. This doesn't mean we can't go further down -- especially during the Asian session. However, it does mean that we have the potential to be running out of downward pressure.

If so, whether it is short lived or not will depend on upcoming news and the impact this has on the sentiment of traders. As you know the political unrest in the US and the tightening in China has set the mood negative lately.

UPDATE: Boom. Instant downward movement to invalidate my sign. The fact it showed temporarily may hint at trend weakening. We do have a fair amount of gloom and momentum to work through.

UPDATE: It's now 23:00 and AUDJPY has just risen to just under 81.60 which would seem to suggest that downward pressure had indeed been flagging. Of course, nothing goes straight up or straight down... but trading 100+ point moves is rather nice.